### 1. Macro Environment and Tokyo Open Direction
Amid mixed overnight closes in U.S. markets and a 5.26% 10-year Treasury yield, the USD/JPY exchange rate is stable around 152.4 yen.
This macroeconomic backdrop provides favorable conditions for export-oriented and currency-sensitive sectors.
Tokyo equities are projected to open with selective differentiation reflecting Nikkei night futures. Screening data indicates clear common denominators in capital flow, concentrating in banking and retail sectors.
### 2. Core Breakout Leading Stocks
Bank of Iwate (8345.T) trades at 2,861 yen, maintaining a steady upward trend of +10.1% over the past month. The upper resistance is at 2,929 yen and the lower support at 2,782 yen.
Okinawa Financial Group (7350.T) trades at 8,170 yen with a +1.49% gain, targeting the upper resistance at 8,380 yen.
Namura Shipbuilding (7014.T) records 47.7 billion yen in trading value at 4,770 yen, consolidating energy within a range.
### 3. Downside Risk Management
Haebum (3133.T) trades at 46 yen following a 32.4% monthly drop, requiring strict avoidance of new long positions.
### 4. Portfolio Operating Principles
Operations must focus on currency-beneficiary banking and heavy industry sectors while strictly adhering to quantitative stop-loss disciplines.
TSE · 일본 개장전
2026-10-01
·
BATUR QUANT RESEARCH
Japan Pre-Market Strategy: Inflows into Banking and Shipbuilding Amid 152-Yen FX Level
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- • With the USD/JPY rate at 152.4, Tokyo equities are poised for selective inflows into banking and shipbuilding sectors benefiting from currency dynamics. Breakout leaders exhibit strong export margins and order momentum, while retail and service issues face downside risks. Trading execution requires strict adherence to quantitative resistance and support levels.
GLOBAL MACRO SNAPSHOT
RORO: 42.2pt (Neutral)
연준 순유동성
$5759.1B
미 10년물 금리
5.26%
WTI 원유
$90.31
원/달러 환율
1356.6원
리포트 핵심 공략 & 분석 종목군
QUANT CONFLUENCE
Batur Global 퀀트 터미널
16,345개 전 종목의 핵심 저항선·지지선 및 수급 지표를 실시간 인터랙티브 차트로 확인하세요.
통합 매크로 대시보드
연준 순유동성, RORO 4대 Pillar, 5대 테일리스크 매트릭스를 인터랙티브 차트로 확인하세요.