### 1. Global Macro Environment and Tokyo Open Direction:
U.S. equities closed mixed overnight while the 10-year Treasury yield hovered at 5.17%, maintaining a persistent high-interest-rate regime.
The USD/JPY exchange rate stabilized near 152.4 yen, supporting export margins for Japanese industrials.
Screening data prior to the Tokyo opening reveals a clear common denominator across market flows. Upward breakout leaders concentrate in banking and transportation machinery, driven by currency-hedged export margins and solid order books.
### 2. Core Outperforming Quant Candidates:
- **Suruga Bank (8345.T)**: Trading at ¥2,901, up 16.6% over the past month with expanding volume. Upper resistance stands at ¥2,929 and lower support at ¥2,871.
- **Naikai Zosen (7018.T)**: Trading at ¥13,220, consolidating within a range with stable volume. Resistance is noted at ¥14,180 and support at ¥12,910.
### 3. Downside Risk and Restricted Equities:
- **Habu (3133.T)**: Trading at ¥49, down 29.0% over the past month in a continuous downtrend. Strict stop-loss disciplines are required near the ¥42 support level.
### 4. Portfolio Management Principles:
Maintain selective exposure to high-margin export and banking names while strictly avoiding low-liquidity laggards.
TSE · 일본 개장전
2026-09-29
·
BATUR QUANT RESEARCH
Japan Pre-Market Morning Briefing: Yen Stability Drives Banking and Export Value Stocks
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- • Tokyo equities open with selective inflows into export and banking value names amid 152.4 yen levels. Quantitative screening highlights breakout momentum in financial and transportation sectors. High-beta consumer and tech laggards require strict downside risk management.
GLOBAL MACRO SNAPSHOT
RORO: 46.3pt (Neutral)
연준 순유동성
$5769.8B
미 10년물 금리
5.17%
WTI 원유
$93.29
원/달러 환율
1359.3원
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