### 1. Pre-Market Futures and Directional Opening Check:
Amid a macro environment featuring a US 10-year Treasury yield of 5.18%, WTI crude at $92.41/bbl, and a DXY of 100.97pt, the US pre-market session is underway. Fed net liquidity stands at $5,770.0B, with favored pre-market sectors identified as energy, oil and gas, high-dividend value stocks, defense, and shipbuilding.
A comprehensive scan of chart screening data indicates that upside breakout stocks are concentrated in [machinery and industrial manufacturing (9 stocks, approx. 90%), pharmaceuticals and biotech (1 stock, approx.
10%)]. Capital has flowed into businesses with [maximized export margins from strong FX rates and high-value supply capabilities], showing a technical pattern of +3.4% 1-month average return, 0.2x volume expansion over the 20-day average, and successful tests above upper resistance lines .
Conversely, downside breakdown risk groups share vulnerabilities in [growth valuation discounting due to prolonged high interest rates and margin compression from slowing forward demand], centered on [machinery and industrial manufacturing (8 stocks, air/marine transportation 1 stock, holding/investment 1 stock)].
They exhibit a continuous 1-month average downtrend of -17.7%, short-term 60-minute D_ATTEMPT occurrences, and a breach of 1-month key support lines . Extreme K-shaped divergence is unfolding within the same industrial sectors between breakout and breakdown groups.
### 2. Core Momentum Stocks Aligned with Common Thesis:
- **Valero Energy (VLO)**: Trading at $387.18 with a daily change of +1.13% and trading volume of $20,011.9M. It maintains a gentle upward trend of +9.9% over the past month, positioned between upper resistance at $419.04 and lower support at $364.96. Chase buying at the open is discouraged given resistance proximity; scaling in near pullback support at $375.00 is advised.
- **Microsoft (MSFT)**: Trading at $516.17 with a +3.66% daily gain and $265,729.3M in volume. Volume expanded 1.7x over the 20-day average over the past month, testing the upper resistance line at $519.40 with support at $497.30. Chase buying is viable upon high-volume breakouts, while volatility near resistance requires caution.
- **Apple (AAPL)**: Trading at $341.07, up +1.53% with a volume of $137,054.8M. Exhibiting an upward trajectory with a +6.7% 1-month return, its upper resistance is $345.34 and lower support is $334.30. Solid inflows continue, supporting buy stances near key support levels.
### 3. Downside Volatility and Restricted Buy Candidates:
- **Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust (WHLR)**: Trading at $5.20 with a +39.04% daily change, though its 1-month return stands at -46.0% amid a persistent downtrend. With upper resistance at $8.71 and lower support at $0.32, new purchases are strictly restricted due to ongoing share consolidation and selling pressure.
- **Aditxt (ADTX)**: Trading at $0.00 with negligible volume and a -100.0% 1-month plunge, entering Nasdaq delisting procedures and trading suspension. Upper resistance is $0.06 and lower support is $0.00, warranting complete exclusion from portfolios for risk management.
- **Rubico (RUBI)**: Trading at $1.13, down -5.83% with a 1-month cumulative decline of -33.9%. Upper resistance is $1.35 and lower support is $1.00, as new low testing continues and requires stringent risk oversight.
### 4. Regular Session Operating Principles and Volatility Guidelines:
During the early regular session, close observation of index futures and upper resistance breakouts among key momentum stocks is required amid pressure from the 5.18% US Treasury yield. Chase buying without volume confirmation is strictly prohibited, focusing instead on verified fundamentals and inflow-concentrated names.
For downside breakdown groups and lagging companies in a downtrend, a sell-on-rally stance must be maintained with strict adherence to stop-loss lines. Risk management and capital preservation remain the top operational principles.
US · 미국 개장전
2026-09-26
·
BATUR QUANT RESEARCH
Wall Street Pre-Market Strategy Briefing: Quant Screening and Key Resistance Levels
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- • US 10-year Treasury yields stood at 5.18%, with selective capital inflows observed in energy and megacap tech stocks during the pre-market session. Breakout candidates in machinery and industrial manufacturing are testing upper resistance lines backed by export margins. Conversely, vulnerable small-cap and rate-sensitive assets continue a downward trend due to earnings pressure.
GLOBAL MACRO SNAPSHOT
RORO: 50.3pt (Neutral)
연준 순유동성
$5770.0B
미 10년물 금리
5.18%
WTI 원유
$92.41
원/달러 환율
1367.4원
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