### 1. Macro Environment and Pre-Market Direction:
Global financial markets reflect persistent macroeconomic tension, with the USD/KRW exchange rate at 1,364.9 and the US 10-year Treasury yield at 4.96%. WTI crude oil is recorded at $92.71 per barrel, while Federal Reserve net liquidity stands at $5,869.1 billion.
A comprehensive scan of the screening data for the domestic market reveals clear common theses guiding capital flows. Outperforming breakout stocks are concentrated in machinery, general industrial manufacturing, steel, and financial sectors, driven by export, exchange rate benefits, and surging order backlogs.
Chart patterns show an average 1-month return of +3.2% and volume breakouts averaging 1.3 times the 20-day average above the 상단 저항선 resistance line.
Conversely, breakdown candidates in construction, machinery, and biotech share vulnerabilities to prolonged high interest rates and margin compression from slowing forward demand. These stocks exhibit a 1-month average return of +0.8% in a downtrend and have breached key 1-month support levels .
### 2. Core Momentum Stocks Aligned with Common Thesis:
[LS-Eco-Energy (229640.KS) | Sector: Machinery & Industrial Manufacturing]
Trading at 64,000 KRW with a daily return of +7.56%, the company has surged +32.2% over the past month, breaking above upper resistance.
The upper resistance is set at 67,800 KRW and lower support at 59,600 KRW. Given the 2.8x volume surge, chasing pre-market highs is restricted in favor of phased entry near support.
[Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) | Sector: Semiconductor/Foundry]
Trading at 285,500 KRW with a +3.25% daily return, this large-cap benchmark maintains an upward trend with a +7.3% 1-month return.
Upper resistance is 288,000 KRW and lower support is 189,200 KRW. Volume expansion at 1.2x supports steady accumulation during intraday pullbacks.
[SNT Energy (100840.KS) | Sector: Machinery & Industrial Manufacturing]
Trading at 36,700 KRW (-4.68%), the company maintains a steady upward trajectory with a +13.3% 1-month return. Upper resistance is 40,550 KRW and lower support is 36,500 KRW, requiring conservative observation of support levels.
### 3. Downside Risk and Restricted Buy Targets:
[Dongshin Construction (025950.KQ) | Sector: Construction & Civil Infrastructure]
Trading at 9,880 KRW (-1.10%), the company faces margin pressure from slowing demand under prolonged high interest rates.
Down 6.3% over the past month, it tests critical support levels. Upper resistance is 13,840 KRW and lower support is 8,170 KRW, making new purchases strictly prohibited due to downside risks.
[B큐AI (148780.KQ) | Sector: Internet Software & AI Solutions]
Trading at 3,755 KRW (-4.21%), the stock shows weakening momentum and subdued trading volume at 0.5x the 20-day average. Upper resistance is 6,420 KRW and lower support is 1,850 KRW, prioritizing risk management over entry.
### 4. Portfolio Management and Risk Guidelines:
Monitor initial market open liquidity flows in large-cap bellwethers and export-oriented sectors with solid order backlogs. Avoid aggressive chasing in stocks showing excessive divergence from 20-day average volumes.
Maintain a sell-on-strength stance for breakdown candidates and secure a cash ratio of at least 30% to hedge against volatility. Strictly execute mechanical stop-losses for any holdings breaching key support levels.
KRX · 한국 개장전
2026-09-24
·
BATUR QUANT RESEARCH
Korea Pre-Market Morning Briefing: Export & Order Momentum Focus
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- • KOSPI pre-market focuses on export and order-driven machinery and semiconductor sectors amid macroeconomic adjustments. LS-Eco-Energy leads breakout momentum while lagging sectors face ongoing downside pressure. Strict adherence to price supports and phased entry is required.
GLOBAL MACRO SNAPSHOT
RORO: 63.5pt (Moderate Risk-On)
연준 순유동성
$5869.1B
미 10년물 금리
4.96%
WTI 원유
$92.71
원/달러 환율
1364.9원
리포트 핵심 공략 & 분석 종목군
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